Tuesday, January 22, 2008

George "After Me the Deluge" Bush's Report Card

It’s been 7 long years of bad mojo. Smirky McStumbletongue won’t accomplish anything significant as a lame (lamer?) duck, with the possible exception of an Israeli/Palestinian accord. Never mind if he has to bribe them into it.


G is worse than F (failure). It signifies a substantively negative causation, through action and/or inaction.

G- War on Terror (measured by increase in terrorists)
G Global Warming
F Social Security solvency
F Runaway healthcare costs
F Healthcare for uninsured
G National debt
G Trade deficit
G Strong American dollar

G Pollution problems, e.g., mercury

C- Education
B Lowering taxes
C Employment
B Stock markets (A for a long time, but soon the piper to pay)
C- Financial markets
D U.S. electrical grid
D U.S. infrastructure problems
F Dependence on foreign oil
G Corporate corruption of politics
D- Status among nations
I Middle East peace (F so far)
F Unhealthy food/beverage crisis
G National amity
G- Transparency in government
F Bio-Medical advancement
C War on Drugs
D- Honest communication with Americans
G 1st/4th Amendment rights
A Political sophistry explaining the above

Oh, and A+ Unprecedented corporate profits (i.e., legal piracy)

Overall grade = D.

Friday, January 04, 2008

A 1968 Analogy

The word ‘historic’ was used often in the coverage of Barack Obama’s victory in Iowa. Which got me to reminiscing. I’m reminded of the 1968 campaign (OhmyGod, 40 years ago!) when as a college student I campaigned for Gene McCarthy in Wisconsin and Illinois. Those memories remain indelible, especially the hallowed night when LBJ withdrew from the race. I was in Wisconsin with the campaign and we all stood watching the small TV that had been set up. (The polls released that day showed the insurgent McCarthy substantially ahead of the president, so we were all walking on air and highly energized.)

When Johnson said the words of withdrawal, the place went screaming nuts for many minutes. We had done it!!! We had deposed the evil king! We had ended (we thought) the war in Vietnam! We had changed America!

Well, things worked out differently than we imagined in those mountaintop moments. Bobby K. knocked out McCarthy, then was killed, then the crazy convention, then HHH being defeated by Nixon. (And 6 more years of war to follow.)

Are there parallels? I hope not, but let’s analogize anyway. Any such attempted portraiture will be flawed, but in this case it may be instructive. Obama has the role of the intellectual insurgent (McCarthy) who energizes the young and wins, surprisingly, in the early going. Edwards’ campaign reminds one of Kennedy, a rich man who thrives on communicating empathy with the working class, and promises fundamental change. And Hillary ... is Hubert!! the pre-ordained establishment liberal who has the support of the party machinery. (Damn, this analogy isn’t all that flawed!!)

Assuming, and praying, that no one gets shot, what we may see (if the analogy holds throughout) is Obama and Edwards splitting the "fundamental change" crowd, and no one amassing enough delegates when the convention opens. Hillary then gets the nomination through political maneuvering, i.e., pressure from the party leaders and a deal with Edwards (VP or maybe a promise of Attorney General). And then, as in 1968, when the country was immersed in an unpopular war, the Republicans win with a candidate who’s strong on national defense, like McCain or Giuliani, or even Romney. We then have a prolongation of the war, nothing much done on social issues, and a generation that withdraws from political experience.

But maybe this time it will be different. My attitude toward Senator Obama has been, "How charming that he’s running this year and getting some practical experience for when he’s all grown up." I watched, like everyone else, how he surged to the front of the polls in Iowa and New Hampshire, but couldn’t quite believe what the numbers were broadcasting.

So here I was Thursday night, sitting and enjoying Barack Obama’s victory speech, and suddenly experiencing a transcending emotion. I don’t know, maybe it’s what he was terming Hope. I felt something resurface inside me that I had thought went moribund long ago. An end -- however short-lived it may turn out to be -- of cynicism.

I saw in Obama a transformation too, in his renewed confidence, in the fact that he had been Justified after all. There was something a bit different in his voice, slightly deeper, and his eyes, more steely and resolved. Of course it was the difference between an insurgent contender and the new mantle of a frontrunner, but it also betokened his change, before our eyes, from a wunderkind man-child into a fully mature man, one that was strong enough to take on the burdensome challenge, a man who could indeed go all the way to the White House.

I have two books that focus on that year 1968, and how it represented a sea change in American life. I wonder if the future will look back on 2008 and see it as a historical shift in this nation’s political consciousness.

Saturday, November 11, 2006

A Sleeping Giant Stirs

It’s like when a person, a fat and lazy person prone to overeating and oversleeping, is prodded awake finally. They don’t spring up all refreshed and ready to do things; they open one eye and move it about for a while. That is America in this moment -- not fully conscious but no longer asleep, a bit disgruntled as if shaken from slumber by some unholy pounding. To quote Robyn Blumner's column: "There is a limit to how much incompetence, greed, corruption, prevarication, secrecy and sanctimony the American people will stand." But the disturbing thing is (and the reason for my half-awake metaphor) is that 47% of voters decided Republican, in spite of it all, while 52% went for the Democrats. Not a resounding mandate, and not a body public that is as yet fully awake.

Getting the Republicans out of leadership of the House and Senate constituted Step One and Step Two. The departure of Donald Rumsfeld (who was thrown to the yelping dogs) can be seen as Step Three, as it will lead, along with the Baker-Hamilton commission report on Iraq, to a change of course in that disastrous enterprise.

The terribly ironic thing is that (I’m convinced) the difference in the Dems taking back Congress, or at least the Senate, was Bush’s pronouncement on the eve of the election that Rumsfeld was "doing a fantastic job" and would hold his office until January, 2009. (But we can look forward to a big medal being placed around his neck in the Oval office.) The arrogant and unpopular Secretary of Defense was such a resounding failure that The Military Times called for his firing a few days before the election. This followed the entreaties of many generals and high-ranking officers who had grown plenty discouraged by his willful incompetence.

I believe that the final factor, that last little swing in the undecided voters which served to confound Rove’s math, was that of military families and friends finally fully fed up with the president’s policies and statements – which also included the nugget, "Absolutely, we’re winning the war." Worth mentioning also in this vein would be Cheney, a man whose diatribes while in office are those of a person either ruthlessly dishonest or totally insane, who audaciously said that, regardless of who wins control of Congress, the Iraq policy would move "full speed ahead." This declaration by the Mad Hatter/Darth Vader of Washington was widely publicized and cost the Republicans more than a few votes as well.

So what are the other steps? First would be the fulfillment of the Democratic campaign pledges encapsulated in their "6 in '06" mini-platform. Although they are tepid tea for a nation calling for a double-espresso wake-up call, they're a start. These would be bills for raising the minimum wage, enacting the recommendations of the 9/11 commission, promoting stem-cell research, reducing university costs by making tuition tax deductible and halving interest rates on student loans, and giving the government the power to negotiate with drug companies to lower prices in the Medicare prescription drug program.

Then should come the restoration of those civil liberties which have been stripped from the American people – literally while the giant slept. Only a slender minority of the population is even aware of the ramifications of the recently passed Military Commissions Act, which allows for the suspension of habeas corpus for any citizen suspected of giving "aid to the enemy." In other words, if a military tribunal, whose members are hand-picked by the administration, decides to, they can cart off anyone, for indefinite detention, without even being allowed legal representation or being told the evidence or charges against them. This is the way it is done in what are commonly referred to as police states. Totally Kafkaesque! And this was enacted in a country that has historically prided itself on its strong protection of civic liberties, and for what reason? It’s as if we were suffering multiple daily terrorist attacks here on the home soil and needed to do something drastic to curb the emergency situation. But no, there have been no attacks; there is no emergency. Just as there are no flag burnings, yet the Republican Congress wasted much time trying to get a constitutional amendment passed prohibiting it.

On the subject also of civil liberties would be the revocation of some of the more blatant Patriot Act provisions (like surreptitious home searches and keyboard tapping), the immediate stoppage of data mining of phone and e-mail records, and the prohibition of warrantless wiretapping.

Next would be the enactment of legislation which would provide a national system of healthcare insurance. We can and should do this, just as all industrialized countries already have.

After that would have to be action on the multi-headed beast of what is collectively called "the environment." Global warming is rapidly approaching a serious tipping point, one major indicator being that polar melting increased 6% last year. [Edited note from 2008: This trend has continued to accelerate dramatically] What we need is a federal program of Manhattan Project scope and urgency for alternative energy sources, encompassing full funding and subsidization of already existent non-carbon methods of energy creation, and heavily funded research into new and improved methods.

Another positive step would be true campaign reform laws which allow for public financing of campaigns. This would not only take the "For Sale" sign off the backs of representatives and senators, but would free up their time and energy to do their jobs better, as it’s estimated that 80% of their free time is spent raising money to pay for their next campaign. This is the nexus of the "culture of corruption" which pervades Washington like a cancer. A huge side-benefit of unhinging these guys from campaign monies would be to remove the practice of "earmarks," a most damaging practice in the modern legislative process wherein members insert spending authorizations on pet projects (at the behest of their campaign contributors) to bills that have already been vetted, thus the "pork" outlays are not seen by most lawmakers, yet are voted into the budget.

There are steps to take after these. In no particular order, they would include the reestablishment of tax fairness, lobbyist reform, investigations of Iraq war contracts, rescinding of the huge oil company subsidies, a Social Security fix, beating back the deficit, and the damn flying cars we were all promised. But let’s put the whip to our public servants to work on these first, the supposition being that the new Democratic leadership is less beholden to the retrograde forces of the religious/conservative right and the lethal (for Americans’ best interests) large corporations. [Edit from January, 2008: Very little of the agenda turned out to be possible, with GWB and his cronies still in power, and without a veto-proof Congress. On to November!!]

Saturday, September 30, 2006

Renewed Hostilities

I know it's been a long time since I added an entry to this compilation, but I've been in Malaysia (please don't ask). The last time I'd looked, the GWB's poll numbers were tanking in the low 30's, which meant only the hard-core base (evangelicals, rednecks and some life-long Republicans) were still supporting his failed administration. But he's somehow managed to tack on 8-10 points, apparently from making jingoistic pronouncements of an American version of jihad, likening the war against the "Islamo-fascists" to World War II, and calling it the "defining conflict of the 21st Century." (Personally, I think that designation will go to the eventual conflict between the vast majority of peaceful citizens in the world and the tiny minority of militarists, religious leaders and politicians who shamelessly manipulate their peoples into hatreds of other groups, using them as pawns in their demented power games. But that's perhaps another posting.)

I refer deliberately above to the Bushies helming a failed administration because a correspondent of mine has objected to this attribution. This person, sadly, is one of those who studiously avoids serious research of the issues and, instead, tunes in occasionally to Fox News or conservative talk radio for spoon-fed opinions. On these-such programs, they are regaled by skilled propagandists who trumpet the establishment line, i.e., that of the government-corporate-military-industrial complex, and vehemently castigate all who question that line, however slightly.

As part and parcel of their devious manipulation of this unfortunate segment of the population (unfortunate because these people can and do vote) is the inculcation of a virulent distrust, through repeated denunciations, of all other sources of information -- the "liberal media" (all the non-Fox networks, CNN, PBS, newspapers and newsmagazines) anything from academia, and anything from the UN or the foreign press. Even the scientific establishment, because their members may make statements or write books about subjects like global warming, stem cell research or evolution, are targets of conservative denunciation, as if they were part of some evil conspiracy to undermine the Righteous Way of Truth as propagated by the Religious Right and Republican conservatives.

These silver-tongued TV and radio manipulators sprouted like poison weeds in this country after it was discovered by a man named Rush Limbaugh that there were a lot more yahoos than deep thinkers listening to AM radio, listeners whose hot buttons could be easily pushed. In an early interview, Limbaugh admitted that he was not really a conservative, "just an entertainer" creating an interesting show. The previously itinerant radio man's program became so successful that he now earns over 30 million per year and has spawned a sickening bevy of wannabes looking to emulate his style, format and salary.

But I should get to the original point, which is that it's not too early to refer to the Bush presidency as a failed administration. In January of 2001 there were 3 major problems facing the country (none of which were that the rich were paying too much in taxes). They were, 1) the out-of-control cost of healthcare -- and consequently Medicare/Medicaid and personal insurance -- with nearly 40 million people without coverage; 2) the increasingly aggressive actions of Islamic extremists; 3) the dependence on foreign oil, which was skewing our foreign policy, and enriching authoritarian regimes in the Middle East. By their actions and inactions, the Bush administration has caused all of these to become worsened.

Healthcare costs and insurance have been allowed to soar, and there are now over 46 million Americans without coverage, most of them full-time workers. Obvious to any observer but lately confirmed in a top-drawer National Intelligence Estimate, our worst-case-scenario-come-to-life occupation of Iraq has incited a large increase in Islamic terrorism. Since 2001, our dependence on foreign sources of petroleum has actually increased. That's three strikes right there, but instead of being out, the Bush administration was returned to office. So let's present a wider analysis of what they've wrought in their leadership capacities in service to the greatest democracy on earth, bearing in mind that, for the most part, they've had the benefit of a compliant Republican Congress.

A second tier of problems besetting us in the beginning of the Bush years can be postulated: This list would include the need to fix Social Security; the deteriorating national electrical grid; the burgeoning influx of illegal immigrants: the worsening health of Americans, mostly due to the unchecked proliferation of unhealthy food and beverage products; and global warming, which now, because of accelerating evidence, is definitely a top tier problem. On this last, there was plenty of data between 2001 and 2004, but at the behest of the petroleum industry and their other corporate puppetmasters (and forgetting not that Bush, Cheney and the majority of their cabinet came in from the fossil fuel industry) the evidence was deliberately obfuscated, distorted and buried. So, like the other things, vital time was lost, time that could have lessened the impacts to come of these serious negative trends.

In addition, there were several areas of opportunity as the new millenium began for a pro-active administration to have taken actions to ensure a better future for the U.S. One of these areas would have been the shifting away from fossil fuels toward various alternate forms of renewable energy. America could have taken the international lead and ran with it, creating a vast network of green technologies for ourselves and a world about to burst into higher energy usage. But this wasn't on the agenda of the fossil fuel corporations or their participating partners in the White House. And now it appears that China has taken the lead in this critical field.

Another area of opportunity was the bio-medical sciences, in particular stem-cell research, which shows promise for disease eradication and limb replacement, truly multi-billion dollar industries of the near future. But due to their being beholden to the wingnut evangelicals and their cockeyed anti-science stances, the Bushies have thrown cold water on this vital research, and now Asian and European countries, mostly through government funding, have taken the pinnacle away from the once preeminent United States.

And what of the problems the administration created on its own misguided initiative? It inherited a healthy surplus and quickly turned it into record deficits, mostly by its foolish tax cuts (which resembled nothing more than payoffs to affluent Americans for their support) and massive corporate giveways, in the form of "incentives," tax breaks and earmarked loopholes for Republican contributors, as well as programs like the prescription drug bill. Or its sponsoring of a bankruptcy bill on behalf of their patrons in the banking industry, one which cruelly penalizes veterans, those who have had a critically ill family member, and victims of natural disasters. Or the way the Bush people, led by the ethically challenged Karl Rove, have created an extreme polarization in this country, along political and religious lines, unprecedented in modern times. Or the delimiting of citizens’ civil liberties, once an American hallmark, through an over-reaching Patriot Act, warrantless eavesdropping and telephone record shenanigans. Or a 6-year period where median family income (excluding the richest 5%, whose incomes ballooned) dropped by over $3000, during a time when expenses for medical care, insurance, home heating, gasoline and higher education all skyrocketed.

And what about job creation, which was the lowest since the 1940s, and would have been the lowest ever if it weren't for the huge number of low-paying, insuranceless jobs (so-called "Wal-Mart jobs") which people with formerly higher-paying jobs were forced to take because their old jobs had been shipped overseas. This "outsourcing" was often with the complicity, and tax incentives, of the Bush administration, which has shown nothing but contempt for the working class, as further demonstrated by their anti-union policies and the blockage of any rise in the minimum wage during their entire tenure.

Other examples of ineptitude and corruption the Bushies have subjected the country to would include screwing up FEMA, which then screwed up the Katrina relief effort. And overseeing a Republican Congress that is at least twice as corrupted as any previous legislative branch in our history, where the "For Sale" sign was writ in neon.

No list would be complete without mentioning the things that GW and his cohorts fervently wanted to do, actions that would have had serious negative ramifications, but were wisely blocked by people with some sense of reality. The highlights from that category would be spending several months in 2005 on his "top priority," selling a Social Security "fix" which wasn't a solution at all, would have actually increased the Social Security shortfall, and was blatantly an attempt to shift retirement monies to what would have been a pre-approved (by them) list of Wall Street companies; trying to put his eminently unqualified personal lawyer on the Supreme Court; attempting to give the United Arab Emirates the eastern coast ports deal -- a country whose royal family, just before 9/11, hosted Osama bin Laden as an honored guest; and, just recently, in the military Commissions Act, doing his darndest to scuttle the strictures on torture found in the Geneva Conventions, of which we are a signatory.

On this last issue, the president somewhat succeeded by the use of a "signing statement" in which he asserts his "right" to reinterpret the Geneva Convention restrictions, or anything else in the detainees bill. (He’s audaciously used these signing statements over 700 times, effectively creating the executive branch as an ersatz legislative branch, coopting and circumventing the Congress and the Constitution.)

But he did succeed in getting the suspension of the right of habeus corpus into the passed bill, negating a previously bedrock part of our judicial system, something duly inscribed in the laws of all civilized countries (indeed, it is used as an indicator of such) since it was part of the 13th Century Magna Carta. All he needs is the vote of two members of a tribunal -- handpicked by the executive branch -- to literally "lock someone up and throw away the key." A citizen thus detained is not given the right to a lawyer, or to hear the charges against him. Indeed, there need be no charges. (Some Americans might have missed this bit of reality while watching reality TV.) What it amounts to, simply and horribly, is that this president, and future presidents unless it's rescinded, now has the power of a police state in his hands.

Another vital area of compounded failure, our relations with other nations, is harder to quantify, but is fraught with profound future implications -- none of them good. Our arrogant unilateralism, acting on the neocon's vision of a world totally dominated by the U.S., created a perceived necessity in the nations of China and Russia, which signed a mutuality pact with the stated intention of counter-balancing our unipolar designs. Bush's calling of North Korea, Iran and Iraq the Axis of Evil, then attacking Iraq, helped push the loose-screw leaders of North Korea and Iran over the brink into hyper-defensiveness, the ramifications of which still lay on a (mushroom?) cloudy horizon.


The last of these blunders I'll mention involves our relations with Pakistan, a nation with a few dozen nuclear weapons and a population which heavily supports the Taliban and al-Qaeda. President Musharaff has done his best, considering his political environment, to cooperate with our War on Terror (well, the mighty USA did threaten to bomb Pakistan back to the Stone Age if they didn't comply) but then we turn around and sign a big nuclear deal with their avowed enemy, India, causing him a huge loss of face. To survive in power, he's had to allow the Taliban and al-Qaeda safe haven inside his country, but it's only a matter of time before he is overthrown by an Islamic revolution. If that indeed occurs, Iran, al-Qaeda and the Taliban will have nukes aplenty, thanks in large part to the Bush administration's undiplomatic handling of a crucially important ally.

I'd also add to this indictment the administration's unconscionable record of inaction on the genocide in Darfur, their delaying and outright reneging on promises made to fund the battle against AIDS in Africa, and their backpedaling on much-needed debt relief for Third World nations.

A few comments need to be made on what was touted in 2000 as Bush's management style; he was said to be preparing a "CEO-style" presidency. The most important quality of a successful CEO is his ability to hire the right people for various jobs, assess their productivity and replace them if they fall short of spelled-out indicators. Well, what we have in GWB is someone who has taken cronyism to new depths. He has not only failed to criticize/fire/replace those who have done a poor job but praises them and, in the case of Condi Rice, gives out a promotion.To cite the biggest examples: Rumsfeld for his arrogant boneheadedness conducting Iraq; Rice for dismissing the terrorist threat as not that important before 9/11; Cheney for being wrong or outright lying most every time he opens his mouth in front of a microphone; and Michael Chertoff of Homeland Security, who was just as blameworthy as "Heck-of-a-Job-Brownie" for the Katrina fiasco, and who recently issued a funding directive delisting blue state New York from having any national monuments worth protecting from the terrorists (!) whereas red states were lavished with monies for things like petting zoos.The two biggest foreign policy mishandlers who did retire, George "Slam Dunk" Tenet of the CIA and Paul Bremer, the head of the catastrophic Iraq occupation during the worst of the decision-making, were recipients of Oval Office ceremonies where big medals were put around their necks by our CEO president.

On a somewhat personal note (but not to forget that GW was elected in large part because of his personality) there's little doubt that he came to the most powerful office in the world having read almost nothing of serious non-fiction, a man with little interest in the arts, literature, science or even travel, a man curiously devoid of curiosity. This lack of intellectuality could have been somewhat compensated for by surrounding himself with erudite associates and holding them to high standards, but the above personnel failures emphatically show that not to be the case.

So with all of these operational deficits, this president could still have managed to do the one thing that good presidents do, and that is listen to the American people, from the common man to the academics to journalists, and then formulate policies and a sense of direction for the country. But George W. Bush has done no such thing. In fact, he is quoted in Bob Woodward's new book, State of Denial, as saying he won't withdraw from Iraq even if everyone opposes him except his wife and dog. I'm not sure what job such stubbornness would pay off in, but GW needs to be reminded that we live in a democracy, with a legislative branch, and that that is the attitude of a king or an absolute dictator, neither of which we want in this country. (Perhaps the November elections will send him that much-needed message.)

Finally, let's remember the supposed context and promised content of this presidency. He won over voters with his promise to be a "compassionate conservative," with his promise to be pro-environment, with his promise to be "a uniter not a divider," and with his promise not to be a president who conducts "foreign adventures" and "nation-building " overseas. Those things, and the expectation that he would be a similar president to his father (who at least was a competent consensus-builder), were all turned utterly and completely on their head.

Looking back over this assessment I realize that it appears one-sided, that it does not include the Bush successes. But that's because what appeared to be the administration's two big successes -- No Child Left Behind and Afghanistan -- continue to crumble down from that earlier positive description due to poor planning, underfunding and lack of follow through.

Just the foregoing readily proves the assertion that this is a failed administration, but as a capstone (no, say that the above recitation digs a 6-foot hole and the following represents the dirt thrown on the casket) we have the 40-months-and-counting Iraq war, which constitutes an even bigger foreign policy debacle than Vietnam, and with many of the same earmarks. Examples: Both governments misled the people, continuously and over years, about how victory was just around the corner; America gave itself a black eye and a shot foot in terms of international respect and approval; and the only real beneficiaries have been the military-industrial complex and the politicians they enriched.

There can be no serious counter-argument -- although the vociferous apologists at Fox and on conservative talk radio will undoubtedly try -- that this woeful administration has done more damage to our country than any in history, and that the kindest thing that any objective analyst of the future will say about them is that they were "a failed administration."

Addendum: Adding this on 11-11-06; Bush can now add to his legacy of boneheaded failure that he broke the so-called "permanent majority" of the Republican party.

Tuesday, May 30, 2006

The Emperor Has No Brains

Seeing the slow-witted, stammering George W. Bush side-by-side with Britain's Tony Blair, erudite and quick on his feet, made me feel embarassed for my country, and even, not that I thought it was possible, a little sorry for Georgie Boy as well.

But then I consider not only the man's record as president, but his arrogance and impudence while conducting a disastrous six years at the helm. Really, where's the list of his actual accomplishments? What have these folks done right? When asked for his best moment while in office, Bush cites the catching of a big bass in his custom-made backyard lake. The closest thing to a good program that his administration has put forward is the No Child Left Behind Bill, which was so underfunded (while tax cuts for the wealthy and massive corporate giveaways were handed out pell-mell) that many states are now rebelling against the bill's unrealistic bridlements.

But it's becoming clear that we won't have the Republicans running the Congress beginning next year. The coalition strategy put together by the president's main advisor, Karl Rove, and followed by the Republican politicians, is slowly but surely unraveling by the week. Rove realized that if you energized (blatantly manipulated) the evangelical Christians, you'd be more than halfway home to victory. But he hasn't delivered on a gay marriage amendment and it's unclear that his two Supreme Court nominees will make a difference in the abortion issue. Add to this a somewhat strange (though welcome) recent movement among Christian types, apparently growing stronger, that is concerned about environmental degradation, an area that GW and company have done little to nothing about. A poll out last week shows Bush's support among this group dwindling down to 52%, down from almost 80%.

Next in the coalition were the fiscal and small-government conservatives, lifetime Republicans
who voted for Bush not thinking that he would so poorly handle the nation's treasury as to create what most economists say is a dangerous situation, especially with the impending Baby Boomer retirement looming large and expensive. These folks liked their tax cuts but don't like what they see in terms of fiscal irresponsibility and burgeoning new entitlements, specifically the seniors' drug bill.

Which leads to the next group that Karl Rove was counting on, the retirees. Most of them, instead of being grateful toward the Bushies and GOP, are ticked off at the labyrinthian complexity of the drug bill, and many are aware that the bill stipulates that no cost reductions can be negotiated with the pharmaceutical industry, making this a boondoggle that their children, grandchildren and great-grandchildren will be burdened with. This group is also increasingly anti-war, so the Republicans will be lucky to get 40% of them in the next two elections.

Finally, there's the patriotic, low-education, country-music-loving set. (OK, the rednecks.) Most of them are from veterans' families and they like a man who talks tough and kicks ass. Their grasp of world affairs is abysmally simplistic and can be summarized on bumper stickers. They're still mostly with Bush and the Republicans, but getting a bit restless with the Iraq war. They don't like the thought that, militarily, we haven't made a dent in the insurgency, and may have to depart that country in turmoil after incurring over 25,000 casualties. Many of them know soldiers who have been killed or wounded, an alarmingly high number of whom were without adequate protection. And there's also the forced reassignments causing resentments.

When you add up these splits and reductions, and compound the public dissatisfaction with congressional scandals, continuing ineptitude on Katrina victims, no action on healthcare, and high gas prices, it's hard to believe that anything will save the Republicans from losing both the House and the Senate in 2006, and the White House in 2008.

Wednesday, April 12, 2006

At Some Point, No Amount of Spin ....

Well, it seems like I'll be back in this country to stay for awhile, so maybe I can keep up a brisker pace on these postings.

Such a vast minority of the Bush Administration’s decisions and actions have been competent that we should wonder, as history certainly will, how these yahoos (no disrespect intended to the web company) got into office, kept the majority of the people on its side for so long, then managed to secure a second term.

The current group in power has done such a thorough job of trashing this country’s financial future, foreign policy and worldwide prestige that the radio and Internet conspiracy nuts are claiming that it’s all a devious plot by the New World Order to collapse the strength of the U.S., allowing an invigorated United Nations to step into the vacuum and take over as world dictator.

I think it’s something else, but only marginally less sinister. I think the Bushies have a cult-like reverence for wealth and power, irregardless of the source of those endowments and, concomitantly, a severe disdain for those who are poor or common working folks. Everything they’ve done backs up that notion, from the irresponsible tax cuts for the rich to the Iraq war, which greatly enriches the large defense contractors and companies like Halliburton, while costing the lives and limbs of (so far) 22,500 Americans and countless Iraqis.

Sunday, March 05, 2006

The Big Con of the Neocons

They’re called neocons, as in New Conservatives, and seven or eight of them are basically running (ruining) the country’s foreign policy. It’s an insidious outgrowth, and its rise into actual power has brought the world to the edge of chaotic discohesion.

One of its basic tenets was laid out in a long position paper in 1993 by Paul Wolfowitz (a key advisor, Undersecretary of Defense and now head of the World Bank), the main thrust of which was that the central aim of American foreign policy had to be to maintain American hegemony (outright dominance) over the world, to act as curtailers and impeders of the U.N. and all other nations who would dare to contend with us, including a United Europe.

Not only has this theoretical assertion failed in the world of reality – as our various rivals, from the European Union, the U.N. and the Muslim world to (the very under-reported alliance of) China and Russia have all taken forward steps while we have declined in many ways. Our arrogant attitude toward other nations and our distorted foreign policy, headlined by a preemptive war in the heart of the oil-rich Muslim world, has made us the pariah of the planet.

The neocon unifying theme of American imperialistic fervor, thinly veiled as American hegemony, had become, until resurrected by this group, a rare political thread since the Vietnam debacle. It’s informative to note that these guys were uniformly supporters of the Nixon administration’s Vietnam foibles, obnoxious hawks in their Young Republicans clubs. (Some of you are old enough to remember these assholes, secure in their deferments and covering their lack of personal courage with the false machismo of the stupidly militant.)

But who are these neocons (primarily Paul Wolfowitz, Richard Perle, Scooter Libby, William Kristol, Douglas Feith and John Bolton) and how did they suddenly rise to power?

The short answer is that they’re a very small group of extremely militaristic, ultra-pro-Israel foreign policy intellectuals who inhabited the far right wing of the Republican party, whose views were not shared by the majority of the party, nor the foreign policy establishment, nor the academics. While out of power during the Clinton years they worked for the pernicious Weekly Standard and various conservative "think tanks" and outfits like Project for a New American Century, funded mainly by tycoon money.

They came to inhabit positions of near-total influence in the Bush White House not because Bush chose them but because Cheney did. (Libby became his chief of staff.) Their viewpoints and pronouncements, especially the need to attack and occupy Iraq -- which they advocated repeatedly during the 90's -- somehow coalesced with Cheney’s Halliburton mindset, the sugar-plum dreams dancing in his head being that of a major Iraq invasion, with Halliburton receiving all the no-bid rebuilding contracts it could handle. (Not to leave out the other major player, Donald Rumsfeld, as number one lapdog of the military-industrial complex, anything that sizably increased the defense budget was a go with him.)

The fact that, if successful, the occupation of Iraq would signal increased security for Israel and ensure our oil supplies from the region was merely icing on those sugar plums. (The icing for Bush was in getting Saddam Hussein, who had tried to kill his father.) All the talk of WMD and 9/11 was a cover to do what they wanted to do from the beginning, and when that proved untrue, they sprouted the whole "democracy and freedom" rationale.

The root of the problem with the neocons may be that none of them have military or intelligence experience, or, for that matter, elected office where you have to have contact with the citizenry. They’re WASP theoreticians (plus a few wannabe-WASP Jews) whose aims are primarily "nationalistic" -- USA runs the world -- and elitist -- the rich need to get richer, and big corporations need to get bigger. They further adhere to the credo that America is exclusively a Christian nation, and that Israel is always right, even when they’re wrong. They’re cut off from the pluralism of America and their ascendancy was and is a hammer blow to domestic progressivism and world peace.

Bob Baer, the former CIA man (21 years) on whose book the movie Syriana was based, says that he’s been in meetings with these neocons, and "they don’t have a clue about the real world." An important example of this is how they (led by Wolfowitz) dismissed claims by intelligence analysts and military leaders that the occupation of Iraq, a country of extreme sectarianism, religious fervor and anti-Americanism, would be a long, bloody, messy affair requiring upwards of 250,000 troops. They convinced Rumsfeld to do the invasion with half that amount, which was the first folly in a long series, many of which could have been prevented with the requisite number of troops.

One is left to assume that Rumsfeld allowed himself to be convinced to go in with the paltry number because for all the imperialistic bluster of this neocon crew (who also want us to kick butt in Syria and Iran) American armed forces are spread too thin around the world as is. That's why close to half the combatants we've sent to Iraq are National Guardsman and reservists, and why the government has forced many of them into extended stays.

The only real solution to this quandary is to institute a military draft but the Bushies don't have the political guts to do that. This leaves America as a toothless tiger, roaring in the jungle but unable to actually attack anyone else, unable even to control the situation in the place we unwisely occupied. This fact is no secret to North Korea, Iran, Syria, radical Islamists and others and they have become increasingly emboldened, even dangerously so. I fear that we are now entering a period of extreme multi-headed crises, such that we will look back on 2005 as "the peaceful time," all because these wrong-headed, arrogant neocons somehow insinuated themselves into the highest reaches of U.S. foreign policy.